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Politics for Dilettantes
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The Perfect World >> Politics >> Politics for Dilettantes

Politics for Dilettantes

Kawaii -- Wednesday, October 08, 2003 -- 10:08:43 PM

Apathetic? Uninformed? Don't even vote? Have your bread and want your circus?

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Nicholas Kronos -- Sunday, November 10, 2013 -- 05:41:58 PM -- 5301 of 5320
"Let me never fall into the vulgar mistake of dreaming that I am persecuted whenever I am contradicted."

0bama golf rounds as President

2009 27

2010 30

2011 34

2012 (re-election year) 19 --> 12 for first 10 months, 7 in last two after winning re-election

2013 39 (thus far)

Each round takes about five hours.

Total rounds of golf played by George W. Bush in eight years: 29.

Sterling Dingleberry -- Sunday, November 10, 2013 -- 08:35:24 PM -- 5302 of 5320
Liberals depend on your abject stupidity. Does 0bamacare cover the extraction of your bucket-shaped head from your fat ass?

BTW, 0blabla has got a really poor golf swing.

Almost Charles Barkley-like in its cringe-worthiness.

GregD -- Monday, November 18, 2013 -- 04:03:52 PM -- 5303 of 5320
After the power to choose a man wants the power to erase. --Stephen Dunn

Bad photo-ops of American political history.

Gotta love Nixon on the beach.

Nicholas Kronos -- Thursday, November 21, 2013 -- 12:12:37 AM -- 5304 of 5320
"Let me never fall into the vulgar mistake of dreaming that I am persecuted whenever I am contradicted."

Nicholas Kronos -- Wednesday, November 27, 2013 -- 02:17:19 AM -- 5305 of 5320
"Let me never fall into the vulgar mistake of dreaming that I am persecuted whenever I am contradicted."

Thanks again, Anthony Weiner

Sydney Leathers to auction off her excess labia.

Nicholas Kronos -- Wednesday, December 18, 2013 -- 06:15:05 PM -- 5306 of 5320
"Let me never fall into the vulgar mistake of dreaming that I am persecuted whenever I am contradicted."

If we had a rational media in this country, this administration would have been long since laughed out of office.

Sterling Dingleberry -- Thursday, December 19, 2013 -- 01:03:17 AM -- 5307 of 5320
Liberals depend on your abject stupidity. Does 0bamacare cover the extraction of your bucket-shaped head from your fat ass?

The idiot looks like the sissified twat-faced spawn of Rachel Maddow and Chris Hayes.

Fucking four-eyed freak.

Nicholas Kronos -- Thursday, January 23, 2014 -- 05:32:58 PM -- 5308 of 5320
"Let me never fall into the vulgar mistake of dreaming that I am persecuted whenever I am contradicted."

You will be assimilated:

theDowager -- Thursday, January 23, 2014 -- 07:23:57 PM -- 5309 of 5320
small, swarthy misfit of the Old World.

MY EYES

Iggy -- Thursday, January 23, 2014 -- 07:37:33 PM -- 5310 of 5320
Kittehs are sold by weight, not by volume. Some settling may have occurred.

Wow. That is really kind of awful.

Nicholas Kronos -- Thursday, January 23, 2014 -- 07:53:15 PM -- 5311 of 5320
"Let me never fall into the vulgar mistake of dreaming that I am persecuted whenever I am contradicted."

Hillary is a girl with kaleidoscope eyes:

GregD -- Thursday, January 23, 2014 -- 10:41:27 PM -- 5312 of 5320
After the power to choose a man wants the power to erase. --Stephen Dunn

And here you guys are always claiming the media makes Dems look good.

Nicholas Kronos -- Thursday, January 23, 2014 -- 11:32:41 PM -- 5313 of 5320
"Let me never fall into the vulgar mistake of dreaming that I am persecuted whenever I am contradicted."

No doubt a lot of liberals don't want her to be the nominee.

I'd be more surprised if a progressive outlet ran a picture like that a week before a general election dogfight.

theDowager -- Thursday, February 13, 2014 -- 04:55:02 PM -- 5314 of 5320
small, swarthy misfit of the Old World.

Via ace:

Top Ten Things To Get Your Conservative Woman on Valentine's Day

and its counterpart,

Top Ten Things To Get Your Progressive Woman on Valentine's Day

jenrenton -- Thursday, February 13, 2014 -- 09:45:01 PM -- 5315 of 5320
Snowflake mother

I'm looking for that American flag jewelry, particularly.

Nicholas Kronos -- Saturday, February 15, 2014 -- 10:37:03 PM -- 5316 of 5320
"Let me never fall into the vulgar mistake of dreaming that I am persecuted whenever I am contradicted."

The Rasmussen Report polling operation seems to have become dilettantish. Note that this poll is a three-day sample, meaning 1/3 of each poll drops off each day to be replaced by a new sample. Hence, 2/3 of the poll is the same day-to-day, the idea being that such sampling mutes swings and sampling noise.

How, then, to explain the poll's erratic performance this year for presidential approval? Whereas the RCP average of polls for the past four weeks has hovered between -11.2 and -8.0, Rasmussen has swung from +4 to -11.

It is the only poll in the RCP history to show Obama with a positive approval since July of last year!

In one day two days ago it went from -11 to -1. Consider the math required to achieve that with a methodology of retaining 1,000 out of 1,500 respondents in the polling sample. In a sample of 1,500, to have -11 approval:

660 approve

825 disapprove

To have only -1 approval:

735 approve

750 disapprove

In other words, 75 people had to change from disapproval to approval. But that's 75 people out of only 500! Two thirds of the sample remained the same. So if for mathematical simplicity we assume the previous 3 days of samples were relatively even--and we can because the poll only fluctuated by 1 point for the 3 days previous--then the sample that dropped off looked approximately like this:

220 approve

275 disapprove

And the sample that replaced it would have to look like this:

295 approve (+75)

200 disapprove (-75)

Meaning the Rasmussen one-day sample had to show an Obama job approval of +19. If for three previous days polling showed -11, followed by a sample with +19 without any news to justify the swing, a legitimate pollster would have to question the sample.

MsIt -- Sunday, February 16, 2014 -- 02:23:31 AM -- 5317 of 5320

I've been watching these swings as well. They really don't make sense at all. Yesterday the poll was 45 approve, 55 disapprove. Today it's 50 approve and 49 disapprove.

What?

Rasmussen has been on a yo-yo. Something's up with their data collection. Either they've been switching regions of the country, that is, polling only in one area at a time, or their sampling is approaching a random walk.

Nicholas Kronos -- Sunday, February 16, 2014 -- 05:18:37 AM -- 5318 of 5320
"Let me never fall into the vulgar mistake of dreaming that I am persecuted whenever I am contradicted."

They used to do only phone robocalls, but after they performed so poorly in the last election they decided to "supplement" those with an online sample. Evidently, they haven't worked out the new methodology.

As I recall, Scott Rasmussen also left.

Nicholas Kronos -- Wednesday, March 05, 2014 -- 04:45:28 PM -- 5319 of 5320
"Let me never fall into the vulgar mistake of dreaming that I am persecuted whenever I am contradicted."

It would be funnier if it weren't pronounced "coke."

Pincher Martin -- Sunday, March 09, 2014 -- 09:06:00 PM -- 5320 of 5320
"Whoever is winning at the moment will always seem to be invincible." -- George Orwell

Ted Cruz apparently killed it at the Gridiron.

“Thank you for the kind hospitality to my wife Heidi and me, and for the meal we’ve been served -- which my food-taster tells me is exquisite. Actually, since I’ve been thrown out of our Senate lunches, it’s really nice to be invited to dinner. Tonight, [I was sitting at the head table next to] Mayor Bloomberg … [S]omething in his expression said, ‘Thirty billion dollars, and I couldn’t buy a better seat?’ … I’m here officially representing Mitch McConnell. He asked me himself. And when Leader McConnell wants something, who am I to say no? … Twenty-one hours and 19 minutes [in the filibuster] -- hearing nothing but my favorite sound. We’re talking Biden territory. And so typical of how this town works, they cut me off just as I was coming to my point.
“By the way, does anyone know the record for the longest speech ever at this dinner? I looked it up, and in the late 1800s, New York Senator Chauncey DePew enthralled his audience until well past midnight. So LOOSEN UP THOSE WHITE TIES, settle back, and what do you say we make Gridiron history? [Applause] [I]n front of conservative and tea-party audiences, I am hailed as the anti-Obama. But tonight, I’m the anti-Crist. … John Kerry … crossed the world to be here. What a treat it must be for him to share the dais with one of only three senators who voted against his nomination to be secretary of state.] … You squeaked by with 97 votes. That’s fine. We in the Gang of Three have other fights to lose. … My relations with John McCain … have greatly improved. This week, … he’s only once demanded a public apology from me. As wackobirds go, that’s pretty good.
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The Perfect World >> Politics >> Politics for Dilettantes